Combat Edge Intelligence

Pawel Pawlak vs Sheldon Westcott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-4-1Record9-3-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach71,0"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Octopus LodzTeamComplete Fitness and Martial Arts

What's at stake

Pawel Pawlak is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Sheldon Westcott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Pawel PawlakNow 1732
If they win+7→ 1739
If they lose-17→ 1715
Sheldon WestcottNow 1580
If they win+23→ 1603
If they lose-9→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.67
Sig. strikes / min
2.26
34%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
54%
Strike defense
37%
1
Takedown avg.
3.23
38%
Takedown accuracy
38%
70%
Takedown defense
14%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Pawel PawlakSheldon Westcott
155016001650170017502014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

11 (48%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
3 (13%)
Submission
3 (33%)
9 (39%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Pawel Pawlak84%
Sheldon Westcott 16%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Pawel Pawlak a 84% favorite over Sheldon Westcott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Pawel Pawlak holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1732 to 1580, a 152-point edge.

Pawel Pawlak enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Pawel Pawlak finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Sheldon Westcott 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.