Peace Nguphane vs Shido Boris Esperança
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record11-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
70.7"Reach70.5"
168 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Shido Boris Esperança is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Peace Nguphane carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1645
If they lose-14→ 1613
If they win+14→ 1685
If they lose-18→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Peace NguphaneShido Boris Esperança
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shido Boris Esperança66%
Peace Nguphane 34%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Shido Boris Esperança a 66% favorite over Peace Nguphane in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Shido Boris Esperança holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1671 to 1627, a 44-point edge.
Peace Nguphane enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Peace Nguphane finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Shido Boris Esperança 82%.
Peace Nguphane and Shido Boris Esperança share 1 common opponent: Yabna N’Tchalá.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2026
LossTKO (Retirement) · 2025