Peace Nguphane vs Shido Boris Esperança
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record12-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
70.7"Reach70.5"
168 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Shido Boris Esperança is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Peace Nguphane carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1638
If they lose-13→ 1606
If they win+13→ 1706
If they lose-19→ 1674
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Peace NguphaneShido Boris Esperança
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shido Boris Esperança77%
Peace Nguphane 23%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Shido Boris Esperança a 77% favorite over Peace Nguphane in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Shido Boris Esperança holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1619, a 74-point edge.
Shido Boris Esperança enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Peace Nguphane finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Shido Boris Esperança 83%.
Peace Nguphane and Shido Boris Esperança share 1 common opponent: Yabna N’Tchalá.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.