Pedro Carvalho vs Sergio Cossio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record19-12-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'7"
70"Reach71"
165 lbsWeight166 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamInv1ktus Durango
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
If they win+12→ 1615
If they lose-12→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1629 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Pedro CarvalhoSergio Cossio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Carvalho63%
Sergio Cossio 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Carvalho a 63% favorite over Sergio Cossio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sergio Cossio's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1603), separated by just 1 points.
Pedro Carvalho enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Sergio Cossio enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Pedro Carvalho finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Sergio Cossio 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.