Combat Edge Intelligence

Pedro Falcão vs Victor Henry

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Victor Henry
us

Victor Henry

“La Mangosta”

25-7-0BantamweightUFC

1729Good

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record25-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamUWF USA

What's at stake

Victor Henry is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Pedro Falcão carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Pedro FalcãoNow 1614
If they win+21→ 1635
If they lose-11→ 1603
Victor HenryNow 1729
If they win+8→ 1737
If they lose-16→ 1713

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.90
Sig. strikes / min
7.17
48%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.19
48%
Strike defense
48%
2.07
Takedown avg.
1.04
22%
Takedown accuracy
43%
83%
Takedown defense
81%
0
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Pedro FalcãoVictor Henry
1600165017001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
7 (28%)
5 (31%)
Submission
8 (32%)
5 (31%)
Decision
10 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Victor Henry66%
Pedro Falcão 34%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Victor Henry a 66% favorite over Pedro Falcão in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Victor Henry holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1729 to 1614, a 115-point edge.

Pedro Falcão enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Pedro Falcão finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Victor Henry 60%.

Victor Henry carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.