Pedro Munhoz vs Sean O'Malley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-10-0Record20-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'11"
65"Reach72″
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Sean O'Malley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Pedro Munhoz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-8→ 1688
If they win+11→ 1826
If they lose-21→ 1794
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1750 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Pedro MunhozSean O'Malley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean O'Malley92%
Pedro Munhoz 8%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean O'Malley a 92% favorite over Pedro Munhoz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Sean O'Malley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1815 to 1696, a 119-point edge.
Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sean O'Malley enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Pedro Munhoz finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Sean O'Malley 70%.
Pedro Munhoz and Sean O'Malley share 3 common opponents: Aiemann Zahabi, Marlon Vera and Aljamain Sterling.
Sean O'Malley carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.