Petr Yan vs Umar Nurmagomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-5-0Record20-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
67"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Archangel Michael Club· 1764 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamEagles MMA· 1817 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1829
If they lose-12→ 1805
If they win+16→ 1838
If they lose-16→ 1806
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1778 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Petr YanUmar Nurmagomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Umar Nurmagomedov60%
Petr Yan 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Umar Nurmagomedov a 60% favorite over Petr Yan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1817 vs 1822), separated by just 5 points.
Petr Yan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Umar Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Petr Yan finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Umar Nurmagomedov 45%.
Petr Yan and Umar Nurmagomedov share 3 common opponents: Merab Dvalishvili, Deiveson Figueiredo and Cory Sandhagen.
Umar Nurmagomedov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (3)
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025