Piera Rodriguez vs Sam Hughes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record11-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'5"
63"Reach64"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Black House MMATeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Piera Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Sam Hughes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-20→ 1685
If they win+20→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1594
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Piera RodriguezSam Hughes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Piera Rodriguez68%
Sam Hughes 32%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Piera Rodriguez a 68% favorite over Sam Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Piera Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1606, a 99-point edge.
Piera Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Piera Rodriguez finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Sam Hughes 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.