Piera Rodriguez vs Sam Hughes
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Piera Rodriguez70%
Sam Hughes 30%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Piera Rodriguez a 70% favorite over Sam Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Piera Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1607, a 116-point edge.
Piera Rodriguez enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Piera Rodriguez finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Sam Hughes 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
13-2-0Record11-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'5"
63"Reach64"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Black House MMATeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Piera Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Sam Hughes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1734
If they lose-21→ 1702
If they win+21→ 1628
If they lose-11→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Piera RodriguezSam Hughes