Piera Rodriguez vs Sam Hughes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record11-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'5"
63"Reach64"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Black House MMATeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Piera Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Sam Hughes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1693
If they lose-19→ 1661
If they win+19→ 1624
If they lose-13→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Piera RodriguezSam Hughes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Piera Rodriguez71%
Sam Hughes 29%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Piera Rodriguez a 71% favorite over Sam Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Piera Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1680 to 1605, a 75-point edge.
Piera Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Piera Rodriguez finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Sam Hughes 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.