Combat Edge Intelligence

Punahele Soriano vs Roman Kopylov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record15-5-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
72"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamRaty Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Punahele SorianoNow 1711
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695
Roman KopylovNow 1712
If they win+16→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1696

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.66
Sig. strikes / min
4.59
55%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.18
48%
Strike defense
52%
1.83
Takedown avg.
1.14
48%
Takedown accuracy
48%
40%
Takedown defense
89%
0.14
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Punahele SorianoRoman Kopylov
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
12 (80%)
2 (15%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (31%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Punahele Soriano52%
Roman Kopylov 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Punahele Soriano a 52% favorite over Roman Kopylov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roman Kopylov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1712), separated by just 1 points.

Punahele Soriano enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Roman Kopylov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Punahele Soriano finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Roman Kopylov 80%.

Roman Kopylov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.