Combat Edge Intelligence

Punahele Soriano vs Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record15-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
72"Reach70"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAlfa Profi

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Punahele SorianoNow 1711
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695
Zhakshylyk MyrzabekovNow 1712
If they win+16→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1696

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.66
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
55%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
1.83
Takedown avg.
TBD
48%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
40%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.14
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Punahele SorianoZhakshylyk Myrzabekov
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
2 (15%)
Submission
2 (13%)
4 (31%)
Decision
7 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov60%
Punahele Soriano 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov a 60% favorite over Punahele Soriano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1712), separated by just 1 points.

Punahele Soriano enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Punahele Soriano finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov 53%.

Punahele Soriano carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.