Combat Edge Intelligence

Quillan Salkilld vs Yanal Ashmouz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
75"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Luistro Combat AcademyTeamK Dojo Warrior Tribe

What's at stake

Quillan Salkilld is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Yanal Ashmouz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Quillan SalkilldNow 1760
If they win+10→ 1770
If they lose-22→ 1738
Yanal AshmouzNow 1635
If they win+32→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.16
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
58%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
45%
Strike defense
56%
7.95
Takedown avg.
4.80
37%
Takedown accuracy
50%
90%
Takedown defense
60%
0.84
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Quillan SalkilldYanal Ashmouz
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
4 (33%)
Submission
2 (25%)
3 (25%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Quillan Salkilld87%
Yanal Ashmouz 13%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Quillan Salkilld a 87% favorite over Yanal Ashmouz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Quillan Salkilld holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1760 to 1635, a 125-point edge.

Quillan Salkilld enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Quillan Salkilld finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Yanal Ashmouz 75%.

Quillan Salkilld carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.