Rafa García vs Tofiq Musayev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-5-0Record24-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
70"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1756
If they lose-16→ 1724
If they win+12→ 1750
If they lose-12→ 1726
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rafa GarcíaTofiq Musayev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafa García53%
Tofiq Musayev 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafa García a 53% favorite over Tofiq Musayev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1740 vs 1738), separated by just 2 points.
Tofiq Musayev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Rafa García finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Tofiq Musayev 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.