Combat Edge Intelligence

Ramazan Temirov vs Steve Erceg

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Steve Erceg
au

Steve Erceg

“Astro Boy”

14-5-0FlyweightUFC

1687Good

Tale of the tape

20-3-0Record14-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'8"
63"Reach 68"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs

What's at stake

Ramazan Temirov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Steve Erceg carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ramazan TemirovNow 1747
If they win+13→ 1760
If they lose-19→ 1728
Steve ErcegNow 1687
If they win+19→ 1706
If they lose-13→ 1674

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
4.64
41%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.07
62%
Strike defense
56%
0.68
Takedown avg.
1.13
0%
Takedown accuracy
28%
100%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Ramazan TemirovSteve Erceg
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (60%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
1 (5%)
Submission
6 (43%)
7 (35%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Steve Erceg51%
Ramazan Temirov 49%Elo baseline: 41%

The Combat Edge model makes Steve Erceg a 51% favorite over Ramazan Temirov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ramazan Temirov's way (41%).

Ramazan Temirov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1687, a 60-point edge.

Ramazan Temirov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Ramazan Temirov finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Steve Erceg 57%.

Steve Erceg carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.