Combat Edge Intelligence

Randy Mboyo vs Stephen Costello

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
-Reach-
157 lbsWeight171 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Randy MboyoNow 1536
If they win+24→ 1560
If they lose-24→ 1512
Stephen CostelloNow 1536
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Randy MboyoStephen Costello
1450150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Randy Mboyo and Stephen Costello within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1536), separated by just 0 points.

Randy Mboyo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Stephen Costello 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.