Raphael Pessoa vs Tanner Boser
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record22-11-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
78″Reach75"
247 lbsWeight203 lbs
Top Brother MMATeamShaved Bears MMA
What's at stake
Tanner Boser is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Raphael Pessoa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1586
If they lose-12→ 1554
If they win+9→ 1665
If they lose-15→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Raphael PessoaTanner Boser
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tanner Boser75%
Raphael Pessoa 25%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Tanner Boser a 75% favorite over Raphael Pessoa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Tanner Boser holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1656 to 1566, a 90-point edge.
Raphael Pessoa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Raphael Pessoa finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Tanner Boser 64%.
Raphael Pessoa carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.