Rashad Evans vs Tito Ortiz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-8-1Record21-12-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
75"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam Punishment
What's at stake
Tito Ortiz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Rashad Evans carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-8→ 1664
If they win+8→ 1797
If they lose-16→ 1773
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1724 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rashad EvansTito Ortiz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rashad Evans51%
Tito Ortiz 49%Elo baseline: 34%
The Combat Edge model makes Rashad Evans a 51% favorite over Tito Ortiz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tito Ortiz's way (34%).
Tito Ortiz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1789 to 1672, a 117-point edge.
Tito Ortiz enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Rashad Evans finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Tito Ortiz 71%.
Rashad Evans and Tito Ortiz share 3 common opponents: Ryan Bader, Chael Sonnen and Antônio Rogério Nogueira.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.