Rashad Evans vs Tito Ortiz

Jul 7, 2007 · ESPN+

DateJul 7, 2007

DivisionLight Heavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenuePower Balance Pavilion

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, July 7, 2007 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 5:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 2:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 10:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 11:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 7:00 AM
Your time

Rashad EvansSuga |20-8-1Rashad Evans vs Tito OrtizTito OrtizThe Huntington Beach Bad Boy |21-12-1

Rashad EvansSuga20-8-1

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time00:05:00

20-8-1Record21-12-1

47Age51

5'11"Height6'2"

75"ReachTBD

205 lbsWeight205 lbs

Light HeavyweightWeight ClassLight Heavyweight

Tito OrtizThe Huntington Beach Bad Boy21-12-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Tito Ortiz owns a 117-point Elo edge (great). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Rashad Evans and Tito Ortiz across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Rashad EvansTito Ortiz

Recent form

Rashad EvansW L L L L · -51 Elo last 5

WLLLL

Tito OrtizW W W L W · +17 Elo last 5

WWWLW

Elo edge

Rashad Evans1672+10 last move

Tito Ortiz1789+4 last move

Why they are ranked here

Rashad EvansNot on the active ladder · 1672 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Chael Sonnen (rated 1688 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Anthony Smith (rated 1657 at the time): -16.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -51 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1582, not 1672: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Tito OrtizNot on the active ladder · 1789 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Alexander Shlemenko (rated 1858 at the time): +19.
Costliest loss: Lost to Liam McGeary (rated 1539 at the time): -23.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +17 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1699, not 1789: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Rashad EvansNow 1672

Wins by decision+16→ 1688

Loses by decision-8→ 1664

Tito OrtizNow 1789

Wins by decision+8→ 1797

Loses by decision-16→ 1773

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Rashad EvansvsTito Ortiz

Submission average

0vs0.60

Takedown defense

74%vs54%

Takedown accuracy

45%vs36%

Sig. strike accuracy

38%vs47%

Finishing profile

Rashad Evansdecision leads 55% of wins

Tito OrtizKO/TKO leads 48% of wins

Common opponents

Chuck LiddellRashad Evans: win · KO (Punch) · Sep 6, 2008Tito Ortiz: win · Punches · Nov 24, 2018

Chael SonnenRashad Evans: win · TKO (Punches) · Nov 16, 2013Tito Ortiz: win · Rear Naked Choke · Jan 21, 2017

Stephan BonnarRashad Evans: win · Decision (Majority) · Jun 28, 2006Tito Ortiz: win · Decision · Nov 15, 2014

Tale of the tape

Rashad EvansTito Ortiz

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.14Sig. strikes landed per min2.59

UFC light heavyweight average : 4.00

38Sig. strike accuracy47

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

2.42Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.88

UFC light heavyweight average : 3.73

63Sig. strike defense61

UFC light heavyweight average : 51%

2.98Takedown average2.47

UFC light heavyweight average : 1.37

45Takedown accuracy36

UFC light heavyweight average : 26%

74Takedown defense54

UFC light heavyweight average : 58%

0Submission average0.60

UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59

8Wins by knockout10

1Wins by submission5

11Wins by decision6

3Losses by knockout5

0Losses by submission2

5Losses by decision5

Rashad Evans vs Tito Ortiz is a scheduled Light Heavyweight fight on UFC 73 : SILVA VS MARQUARDT. Rashad Evans enters with a 20-8-1 record and Tito Ortiz enters with a 21-12-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.