Combat Edge Intelligence

Rashid Magomedov vs Renato Moicano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-6-1Record21-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70,5"Reach72″
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Gorets Fight Club· 1716 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFirst Fight Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rashid MagomedovNow 1750
If they win+12→ 1762
If they lose-12→ 1738
Renato MoicanoNow 1743
If they win+12→ 1755
If they lose-12→ 1731

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.40
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
49%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.55
55%
Strike defense
60%
0.67
Takedown avg.
1.68
57%
Takedown accuracy
12%
89%
Takedown defense
64%
0.17
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Rashid MagomedovRenato Moicano
1700175020252026

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
2 (10%)
1 (4%)
Submission
11 (52%)
15 (60%)
Decision
8 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Renato Moicano66%
Rashid Magomedov 34%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Renato Moicano a 66% favorite over Rashid Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rashid Magomedov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1750 vs 1743), separated by just 7 points.

Rashid Magomedov finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Renato Moicano 62%.

Renato Moicano carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.