Rasul Magomedov vs Sidney Outlaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record23-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-Reach76"
171 lbsWeight155 lbs
AchillesTeamDante Rivera BJJ· 1666 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Sidney Outlaw is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Rasul Magomedov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1683
If they lose-13→ 1651
If they win+10→ 1747
If they lose-14→ 1723
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rasul MagomedovSidney Outlaw
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sidney Outlaw73%
Rasul Magomedov 27%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Sidney Outlaw a 73% favorite over Rasul Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Sidney Outlaw holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1737 to 1664, a 73-point edge.
Sidney Outlaw enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Rasul Magomedov finishes 35% of wins inside the distance, Sidney Outlaw 52%.
Rasul Magomedov and Sidney Outlaw share 1 common opponent: Davi Ramos.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.