Rasul Magomedov vs Sullivan Cauley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-0-0Record8-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
73"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
KHK MMA Team· 1684 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamDan's Gym
What's at stake
Rasul Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Sullivan Cauley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1729
If they lose-20→ 1697
If they win+20→ 1651
If they lose-12→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rasul MagomedovSullivan Cauley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rasul Magomedov58%
Sullivan Cauley 42%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Rasul Magomedov a 58% favorite over Sullivan Cauley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Rasul Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1717 to 1631, a 86-point edge.
Rasul Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Sullivan Cauley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rasul Magomedov finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Sullivan Cauley 88%.
Sullivan Cauley carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.