Rasul Magomedov vs Sullivan Cauley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record8-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
73"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
KHK MMA TeamTeamDan's Gym
What's at stake
Rasul Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Sullivan Cauley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1713
If they lose-18→ 1681
If they win+18→ 1665
If they lose-14→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rasul MagomedovSullivan Cauley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rasul Magomedov63%
Sullivan Cauley 37%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Rasul Magomedov a 63% favorite over Sullivan Cauley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Rasul Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1647, a 52-point edge.
Rasul Magomedov enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Rasul Magomedov finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sullivan Cauley 88%.
Sullivan Cauley carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.