Combat Edge Intelligence

Raul Lemberanskij vs Roman Paulus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record11-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'10"
69.7"Reach-
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
Team MMA Spirit· 1647 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamSpartakus Fight Gym· 1645 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Raul Lemberanskij is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +18 while a loss costs more — Roman Paulus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Raul LemberanskijNow 1681
If they win+18→ 1699
If they lose-30→ 1651
Roman PaulusNow 1599
If they win+20→ 1619
If they lose-12→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

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Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Raul LemberanskijRoman Paulus
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
1 (11%)
Submission
3 (27%)
6 (67%)
Decision
7 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Raul Lemberanskij61%
Roman Paulus 39%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Raul Lemberanskij a 61% favorite over Roman Paulus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Raul Lemberanskij holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1599, a 82-point edge.

Raul Lemberanskij enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Roman Paulus enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Raul Lemberanskij finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Roman Paulus 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.