OKTAGON 94 : ECKERLIN VS KOZMA

Raul Lemberanskij vs Roman Paulus

DateSep 26, 2026
DivisionBantamweight
StatusScheduled
VenueDeutsche Bank Park
BroadcastOKTAGON PASS
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, September 26, 2026 — watch on OKTAGON PASS.

US East (ET)
Sat 12:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 9:00 AM
United Kingdom
Sat 5:00 PM
Central Europe
Sat 6:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 2:00 AM
Raul Lemberanskij9-0-0Raul Lemberanskij vs Roman PaulusRoman Paulus11-6-0
azRaul Lemberanskij9-0-0Raul Lemberanskij
Elo1681Good
3Y trend1551 → 1681
2023-05-27: 15512023-11-11: 15782024-03-30: 15972024-06-22: 16142024-12-07: 16302025-05-24: 16482025-09-20: 16622026-03-07: 1681
az

Fight Overview

Round3
Time5:00
9-0-0Record11-6-0
24Age26
5'5"Height5'10"
69.7"Reach-
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight
skRoman Paulus11-6-0skRoman Paulus
Elo1599Solid
3Y trend1558 → 1599
2023-11-18: 15582024-01-27: 15762024-10-05: 15902024-11-09: 16032025-03-08: 15872025-06-14: 15722026-01-24: 15832026-08-01: 1599
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Raul Lemberanskij owns a 82-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Raul Lemberanskij and Roman Paulus across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Raul LemberanskijRoman Paulus
1550160016501700202420252026

Recent form

Raul LemberanskijW W W W W · +84 Elo last 5
WWWWW
Roman PaulusW W L L W · +9 Elo last 5
WWLLW

Elo edge

Raul Lemberanskij1681+19 last move
Roman Paulus1599+16 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
64%Raul Lemberanskij36%Roman Paulus
Model favoriteRaul Lemberanskij
Elo baseline62% for Raul Lemberanskij
Matchup adjustment+2 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Raul LemberanskijStake

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Raul Lemberanskij leads the full model at 64%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 2 points.

Current Elo ratings1681 · 1599Raul Lemberanskij leads by 82 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1517 · 1543Roman Paulus faced the stronger recent schedule (9 vs 10 sampled fights).
Elo record depth9 · 19 fightsRoman Paulus has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Raul LemberanskijvsRoman Paulus

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Raul Lemberanskijdecision leads 67% of wins
Roman Paulusdecision leads 64% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Raul LemberanskijRoman Paulus

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available
UFC bantamweight average : 3.70
Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available
UFC bantamweight average : 45%
Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available
UFC bantamweight average : 3.76
Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available
UFC bantamweight average : 54%
Not availableTakedown averageNot available
UFC bantamweight average : 1.52
Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available
UFC bantamweight average : 28%
Not availableTakedown defenseNot available
UFC bantamweight average : 61%
Not availableSubmission averageNot available
UFC bantamweight average : 0.52
2Wins by knockout1
1Wins by submission3
6Wins by decision7
0Losses by knockout0
0Losses by submission1
0Losses by decision5

Raul Lemberanskij vs Roman Paulus is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on OKTAGON 94 : ECKERLIN VS KOZMA. Raul Lemberanskij enters with a 9-0-0 record and Roman Paulus enters with a 11-6-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Raul Lemberanskij vs Roman Paulus quick answers

When is Raul Lemberanskij vs Roman Paulus?

Raul Lemberanskij vs Roman Paulus is listed for OKTAGON 94 : ECKERLIN VS KOZMA on Sep 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST.

What event is Raul Lemberanskij vs Roman Paulus on?

Raul Lemberanskij vs Roman Paulus is listed on OKTAGON 94 : ECKERLIN VS KOZMA.

What are the records for Raul Lemberanskij vs Roman Paulus?

Raul Lemberanskij enters with a 9-0-0 record and Roman Paulus enters with a 11-6-0 record.

What division is Raul Lemberanskij vs Roman Paulus?

Raul Lemberanskij vs Roman Paulus is listed as a Bantamweight fight.

Full fight card

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