
Raul Rosas Jr. vs Terrence Mitchell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Raul Rosas Jr. is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Terrence Mitchell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Raul Rosas Jr. a 89% favorite over Terrence Mitchell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Raul Rosas Jr. holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1743 to 1606, a 137-point edge.
Raul Rosas Jr. enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Terrence Mitchell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Raul Rosas Jr. finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Terrence Mitchell 100%.
Terrence Mitchell carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.