Combat Edge Intelligence

Raul Rosas Jr. vs Terrence Mitchell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record14-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'10"
67" Reach74,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

Raul Rosas Jr. is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Terrence Mitchell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Raul Rosas Jr.Now 1743
If they win+10→ 1753
If they lose-22→ 1721
Terrence MitchellNow 1606
If they win+22→ 1628
If they lose-10→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.34
Sig. strikes / min
2.21
42%
Strike accuracy
35%
1.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.85
53%
Strike defense
42%
6.10
Takedown avg.
3.69
3%
Takedown accuracy
50%
25%
Takedown defense
0%
0.87
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Raul Rosas Jr.Terrence Mitchell
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
6 (50%)
Submission
6 (43%)
4 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Raul Rosas Jr.89%
Terrence Mitchell 11%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Raul Rosas Jr. a 89% favorite over Terrence Mitchell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Raul Rosas Jr. holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1743 to 1606, a 137-point edge.

Raul Rosas Jr. enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Terrence Mitchell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Raul Rosas Jr. finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Terrence Mitchell 100%.

Terrence Mitchell carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.