Combat Edge Intelligence

Ray Hayes vs Roosevelt Roberts

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ray Hayes
us

Ray Hayes

“Sweet Baby”

9-2-0WelterweightLFA

1640Solid

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-Reach73"
170 lbsWeight158 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ray HayesNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Roosevelt RobertsNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.84
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.10
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.18
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.74

Trajectory

Ray HayesRoosevelt Roberts
155016001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
3 (33%)
Submission
5 (42%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Ray Hayes63%
Roosevelt Roberts 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ray Hayes a 63% favorite over Roosevelt Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1640), separated by just 0 points.

Ray Hayes enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Roosevelt Roberts enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ray Hayes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Roosevelt Roberts 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.