Renan Ferreira vs Sergey Bilostenniy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record15-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'8"Height6'1"
85"Reach75"
264 lbsWeight262 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamRaty Team
What's at stake
Sergey Bilostenniy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Renan Ferreira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1691
If they lose-14→ 1659
If they win+14→ 1726
If they lose-18→ 1694
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1686 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Renan FerreiraSergey Bilostenniy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergey Bilostenniy70%
Renan Ferreira 30%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergey Bilostenniy a 70% favorite over Renan Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Sergey Bilostenniy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1673, a 39-point edge.
Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sergey Bilostenniy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Renan Ferreira finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Bilostenniy 73%.
Renan Ferreira carries a 10-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.