Combat Edge Intelligence

Renan Ferreira vs Sergey Bilostenniy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record15-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'8"Height6'1"
85"Reach75"
264 lbsWeight262 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamRaty Team· 1668 avg Elo · 13 rated

What's at stake

Sergey Bilostenniy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Renan Ferreira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Renan FerreiraNow 1673
If they win+18→ 1691
If they lose-14→ 1659
Sergey BilostenniyNow 1715
If they win+14→ 1729
If they lose-18→ 1697

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1686 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

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Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Renan FerreiraSergey Bilostenniy
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (85%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
1 (8%)
Submission
1 (7%)
1 (8%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Renan Ferreira53%
Sergey Bilostenniy 47%Elo baseline: 44%

The Combat Edge model makes Renan Ferreira a 53% favorite over Sergey Bilostenniy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sergey Bilostenniy's way (44%).

Sergey Bilostenniy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1673, a 42-point edge.

Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Sergey Bilostenniy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Renan Ferreira finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Bilostenniy 73%.

Renan Ferreira carries a 10-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.