Renan Oliveira vs Tamirlan Ashakhanov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record8-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
154 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tropa ThaiTeam
What's at stake
Renan Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Tamirlan Ashakhanov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1676
If they lose-21→ 1644
If they win+21→ 1571
If they lose-11→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Renan OliveiraTamirlan Ashakhanov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Renan Oliveira55%
Tamirlan Ashakhanov 45%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Renan Oliveira a 55% favorite over Tamirlan Ashakhanov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Renan Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1550, a 115-point edge.
Renan Oliveira enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Tamirlan Ashakhanov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Renan Oliveira finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Tamirlan Ashakhanov 38%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.