Combat Edge Intelligence

Renato Moicano vs Zubaira Tukhugov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-7-1Record20-6-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
72″Reach68"
156 lbsWeight158 lbs
First Fight CenterTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

Renato Moicano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Zubaira Tukhugov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Renato MoicanoNow 1743
If they win+10→ 1753
If they lose-14→ 1729
Zubaira TukhugovNow 1692
If they win+14→ 1706
If they lose-10→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.17
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
49%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.07
60%
Strike defense
64%
1.67
Takedown avg.
2.13
42%
Takedown accuracy
39%
63%
Takedown defense
100%
0.50
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Renato MoicanoZubaira Tukhugov
17001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
11 (52%)
Submission
1 (5%)
8 (38%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Renato Moicano70%
Zubaira Tukhugov 30%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Renato Moicano a 70% favorite over Zubaira Tukhugov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Renato Moicano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1743 to 1692, a 51-point edge.

Renato Moicano finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Zubaira Tukhugov 40%.

Renato Moicano carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.