Rhys McKee vs Yabna N’Tchalá
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Rhys McKee75%
Yabna N’Tchalá 25%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rhys McKee a 75% favorite over Yabna N’Tchalá in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1630), separated by just 0 points.
Yabna N’Tchalá enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rhys McKee finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Yabna N’Tchalá 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
15-8-1Record14-4-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
78"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Next Generation Northern IrelandTeamGile Ribeiro Team· 1647 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rhys McKeeYabna N’Tchalá