Ricardo Arreola vs Ricardo Garza
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ricardo Arreola and Ricardo Garza within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1481 vs 1471), separated by just 10 points.
Ricardo Arreola enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ricardo Arreola finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Garza 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
10-13-0Record3-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'4"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight165 lbs
Invictus Fight SystemTeamTiburones Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1497
If they lose-16→ 1465
If they win+25→ 1496
If they lose-23→ 1448
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ricardo ArreolaRicardo Garza