Ricardo Arreola vs Sahel Walizada
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Sahel Walizada52%
Ricardo Arreola 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sahel Walizada a 52% favorite over Ricardo Arreola in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ricardo Arreola's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1481 vs 1480), separated by just 1 points.
Ricardo Arreola enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sahel Walizada enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ricardo Arreola finishes 50% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
10-13-0Record1-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"HeightTBD
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Invictus Fight SystemTeamMy Cross Box
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1497
If they lose-16→ 1465
If they win+24→ 1504
If they lose-24→ 1456
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ricardo ArreolaSahel Walizada