Richie Smullen vs Yusup-Khadzhi Zubariev
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Yusup-Khadzhi Zubariev55%
Richie Smullen 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yusup-Khadzhi Zubariev a 55% favorite over Richie Smullen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Richie Smullen's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1653 vs 1652), separated by just 1 points.
Richie Smullen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Richie Smullen finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Yusup-Khadzhi Zubariev 31%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
15-5-1Record16-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71"Reach-
145 lbsWeight157 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamFight Club Berkut· 1633 avg Elo · 12 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Richie SmullenYusup-Khadzhi Zubariev