
Ricky Simón vs Rob Font
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.


Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Simón a 51% favorite over Rob Font in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rob Font's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1731), separated by just 10 points.
Rob Font enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ricky Simón finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Rob Font 59%.
Ricky Simón and Rob Font share 1 common opponent: Adrian Yanez.
Rob Font carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.