Combat Edge Intelligence

Rinya Nakamura vs Toshiomi Kazama

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record11-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach 69"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
FreelanceTeamWajutsu Keishukai Hearts

What's at stake

Rinya Nakamura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Toshiomi Kazama carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Rinya NakamuraNow 1710
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-20→ 1690
Toshiomi KazamaNow 1622
If they win+20→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1610

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.53
Sig. strikes / min
1.72
55%
Strike accuracy
53%
1.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.89
67%
Strike defense
43%
3.72
Takedown avg.
1.68
90%
Takedown accuracy
13%
100%
Takedown defense
67%
1.65
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Rinya NakamuraToshiomi Kazama
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
1 (10%)
Submission
6 (55%)
3 (30%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Rinya Nakamura70%
Toshiomi Kazama 30%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Rinya Nakamura a 70% favorite over Toshiomi Kazama in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Rinya Nakamura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1622, a 88-point edge.

Rinya Nakamura finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Toshiomi Kazama 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.