Rinya Nakamura vs Toshiomi Kazama
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record11-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach 69"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Freelance· 1552 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamWajutsu Keishukai Hearts
What's at stake
Rinya Nakamura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Toshiomi Kazama carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1702
If they lose-19→ 1670
If they win+19→ 1642
If they lose-13→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rinya NakamuraToshiomi Kazama
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rinya Nakamura60%
Toshiomi Kazama 40%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Rinya Nakamura a 60% favorite over Toshiomi Kazama in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Rinya Nakamura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1689 to 1623, a 66-point edge.
Rinya Nakamura finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Toshiomi Kazama 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.