Robelis Despaigne vs Tai Tuivasa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record14-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'2"
84"Reach75"
263 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
Robelis Despaigne is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Tai Tuivasa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1664
If they lose-27→ 1616
If they win+18→ 1616
If they lose-14→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Robelis DespaigneTai Tuivasa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Robelis Despaigne64%
Tai Tuivasa 36%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Robelis Despaigne a 64% favorite over Tai Tuivasa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Robelis Despaigne holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1643 to 1598, a 45-point edge.
Robelis Despaigne enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Tai Tuivasa enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Robelis Despaigne finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.
Robelis Despaigne carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.