Robert Valentin vs Ryan Loder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
77"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Robert Valentin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ryan Loder carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1627
If they lose-17→ 1595
If they win+17→ 1607
If they lose-15→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Robert ValentinRyan Loder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Robert Valentin70%
Ryan Loder 30%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Robert Valentin a 70% favorite over Ryan Loder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Robert Valentin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1612 to 1590, a 22-point edge.
Robert Valentin enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ryan Loder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Robert Valentin finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Loder 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.