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Combat Edge Intelligence

Robert Valentin vs Ryan Loder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Loder
us

Ryan Loder

“The Man of Steel”

7-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1591Solid

Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
77"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fight Move Academy· 1617 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamApex Wrestling Academy

What's at stake

Robert Valentin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ryan Loder carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Robert ValentinNow 1609
If they win+15→ 1624
If they lose-17→ 1592
Ryan LoderNow 1591
If they win+17→ 1608
If they lose-15→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.30
Sig. strikes / min
5.76
56%
Strike accuracy
71%
2.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
33%
Strike defense
50%
0.59
Takedown avg.
1.57
50%
Takedown accuracy
14%
55%
Takedown defense
100%
1.78
Submission avg.
1.57

Trajectory

Robert ValentinRyan Loder
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
8 (67%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (8%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Valentin61%
Ryan Loder 39%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Valentin a 61% favorite over Ryan Loder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Robert Valentin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1609 to 1591, a 18-point edge.

Robert Valentin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ryan Loder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Robert Valentin finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Loder 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.