Combat Edge Intelligence

Robert Valentin vs Teddy Ash

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Teddy Ash
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Teddy Ash

“Bear”

14-5-0MiddleweightDWCS

1613Solid

Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record14-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight183 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Robert ValentinNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Teddy AshNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.30
Sig. strikes / min
7.27
56%
Strike accuracy
62%
2.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.80
33%
Strike defense
28%
0.59
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
55%
Takedown defense
100%
1.78
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Robert ValentinTeddy Ash
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
8 (67%)
Submission
1 (7%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Valentin66%
Teddy Ash 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Valentin a 66% favorite over Teddy Ash in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Teddy Ash's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.

Robert Valentin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Teddy Ash enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Robert Valentin finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Teddy Ash 79%.

Robert Valentin and Teddy Ash share 1 common opponent: Duško Todorović.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2026
Duško Todorović
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2019