Rodrigo de Lima vs Valentino Greco
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-1Record1-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Coalizao Fight TeamTeamX Uno Boxing Genova
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1492
If they lose-24→ 1444
If they win+24→ 1489
If they lose-24→ 1441
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1593 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1484 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rodrigo de LimaValentino Greco
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rodrigo de Lima60%
Valentino Greco 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rodrigo de Lima a 60% favorite over Valentino Greco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1468 vs 1465), separated by just 3 points.
Rodrigo de Lima enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Valentino Greco enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rodrigo de Lima finishes 78% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.