Combat Edge Intelligence

Rodrigo Nascimento vs Tanner Boser

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tanner Boser
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Tanner Boser

“The Bulldozer”

22-11-1Light HeavyweightUFC

1656Good

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record22-11-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
80"Reach75"
265 lbsWeight203 lbs
American Top TeamTeamShaved Bears MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rodrigo NascimentoNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Tanner BoserNow 1656
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
4.70
47%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.75
45%
Strike defense
58%
1.02
Takedown avg.
0
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
61%
Takedown defense
63%
0.51
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Rodrigo NascimentoTanner Boser
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
6 (55%)
Submission
2 (9%)
3 (27%)
Decision
8 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Rodrigo Nascimento51%
Tanner Boser 49%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Rodrigo Nascimento a 51% favorite over Tanner Boser in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1656), separated by just 10 points.

Rodrigo Nascimento finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Tanner Boser 64%.

Rodrigo Nascimento and Tanner Boser share 1 common opponent: Ilir Latifi.

Rodrigo Nascimento carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Split · 2023
Ilir Latifi
LossDecision (split) · 2021