Rodrigo Nascimento vs Tanner Boser
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record22-11-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
80"Reach75"
265 lbsWeight203 lbs
American Top TeamTeamShaved Bears MMA· 1598 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Tanner Boser is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Rodrigo Nascimento carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1639
If they lose-14→ 1607
If they win+11→ 1669
If they lose-13→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rodrigo NascimentoTanner Boser
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rodrigo Nascimento53%
Tanner Boser 47%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Rodrigo Nascimento a 53% favorite over Tanner Boser in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tanner Boser's way (45%).
Tanner Boser holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1621, a 37-point edge.
Rodrigo Nascimento enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rodrigo Nascimento finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tanner Boser 64%.
Rodrigo Nascimento and Tanner Boser share 1 common opponent: Ilir Latifi.
Rodrigo Nascimento carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.