Ronald Humphrey vs Yilizhati Maimaitijiang
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Yilizhati Maimaitijiang53%
Ronald Humphrey 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yilizhati Maimaitijiang a 53% favorite over Ronald Humphrey in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ronald Humphrey's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1629), separated by just 0 points.
Ronald Humphrey enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Ronald Humphrey finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yilizhati Maimaitijiang 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
5-0-0Record7-1-1
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
77"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamTuowu Fight Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ronald HumphreyYilizhati Maimaitijiang