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Combat Edge Intelligence

Rongzhu vs Rustam Kerimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rongzhu
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Rongzhu

29-6-0LightweightUFC

1754Great

Tale of the tape

29-6-0Record22-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'5"
72"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight147 lbs
Enbo Fight Club· 1687 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1687 avg Elo · 26 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

RongzhuNow 1754
If they win+12→ 1766
If they lose-12→ 1742
Rustam KerimovNow 1757
If they win+16→ 1773
If they lose-16→ 1741

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.05
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
52%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
53%
Strike defense
Not available
1.34
Takedown avg.
Not available
63%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
84%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.13
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

RongzhuRustam Kerimov
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (57%)
KO/TKO
9 (41%)
6 (21%)
Submission
2 (9%)
6 (21%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Rongzhu58%
Rustam Kerimov 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rongzhu a 58% favorite over Rustam Kerimov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rustam Kerimov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1754 vs 1757), separated by just 3 points.

Rongzhu enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Rongzhu finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Kerimov 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.