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Combat Edge Intelligence

Roosevelt Roberts vs Thomas Gifford

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record17-10-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height6'1"
73"Reach43,5"
158 lbsWeight155 lbs
Adrenaline Martial ArtsTeamSheridan Boxing Club

What's at stake

Roosevelt Roberts is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Thomas Gifford carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Roosevelt RobertsNow 1640
If they win+14→ 1654
If they lose-18→ 1622
Thomas GiffordNow 1599
If they win+13→ 1612
If they lose-11→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.84
Sig. strikes / min
3.97
44%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.45
53%
Strike defense
37%
1.18
Takedown avg.
0.50
27%
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
33%
0.74
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Roosevelt RobertsThomas Gifford
1600165017002018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
5 (42%)
Submission
13 (76%)
3 (25%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Roosevelt Roberts75%
Thomas Gifford 25%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Roosevelt Roberts a 75% favorite over Thomas Gifford in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Roosevelt Roberts holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1640 to 1599, a 41-point edge.

Roosevelt Roberts enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Thomas Gifford enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Roosevelt Roberts finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Gifford 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.