Roxanne Modafferi vs Viviane Araujo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-20-0Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
TBDReach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamCerrado MMA
What's at stake
Viviane Araujo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Roxanne Modafferi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1573
If they lose-10→ 1549
If they win+13→ 1634
If they lose-19→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Roxanne ModafferiViviane Araujo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Viviane Araujo88%
Roxanne Modafferi 12%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Viviane Araujo a 88% favorite over Roxanne Modafferi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Viviane Araujo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1621 to 1559, a 62-point edge.
Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Roxanne Modafferi finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Viviane Araujo 50%.
Roxanne Modafferi and Viviane Araujo share 1 common opponent: Andrea Lee.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.