Rustam Khabilov vs Vinc Pichel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-4-0Record14-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
40,5"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamFactory X
What's at stake
Rustam Khabilov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Vinc Pichel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1793
If they lose-16→ 1769
If they win+22→ 1672
If they lose-10→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1706 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rustam KhabilovVinc Pichel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rustam Khabilov84%
Vinc Pichel 16%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Khabilov a 84% favorite over Vinc Pichel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Rustam Khabilov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1785 to 1650, a 135-point edge.
Vinc Pichel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Rustam Khabilov finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Vinc Pichel 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.