Rustam Serbiev vs Stephen Costello
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-6-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
69"Reach-
169 lbsWeight171 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rustam SerbievStephen Costello
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Rustam Serbiev and Stephen Costello within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1540 vs 1536), separated by just 4 points.
Rustam Serbiev finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Stephen Costello 67%.
Rustam Serbiev and Stephen Costello share 1 common opponent: Ashley Reece.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.