Combat Edge Intelligence

Ryan Couture vs Shaqueme Rock

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record11-3-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
156 lbsWeight161 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMonarchy MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ryan CoutureNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Shaqueme RockNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.12
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
32%
Strike accuracy
42%
14.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.40
55%
Strike defense
56%
0.63
Takedown avg.
1
8%
Takedown accuracy
11%
47%
Takedown defense
80%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ryan CoutureShaqueme Rock
16502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
6 (50%)
Submission
8 (73%)
5 (42%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Shaqueme Rock63%
Ryan Couture 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shaqueme Rock a 63% favorite over Ryan Couture in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Couture's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1640), separated by just 0 points.

Shaqueme Rock enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryan Couture finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Shaqueme Rock 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.