Ryan Gandra vs Zach Reese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-1-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
74"Reach77"
184 lbsWeight185 lbs
Flavio Baiano TeamTeamW4R Training Center· 1623 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Ryan Gandra is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Zach Reese carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1709
If they lose-18→ 1677
If they win+18→ 1663
If they lose-14→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ryan GandraZach Reese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Gandra53%
Zach Reese 47%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Gandra a 53% favorite over Zach Reese in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Ryan Gandra holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1645, a 50-point edge.
Ryan Gandra enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Zach Reese enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryan Gandra finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Zach Reese 80%.
Ryan Gandra and Zach Reese share 1 common opponent: José Medina.
Zach Reese carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.