Saifullah Dzhabrailov vs Tommy McMillen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-3-0Record12-0-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height6'0"
-Reach74"
147 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fight Club Berkut· 1633 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamRed Hawk Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1742
If they lose-16→ 1710
If they win+16→ 1745
If they lose-16→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Saifullah DzhabrailovTommy McMillen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tommy McMillen57%
Saifullah Dzhabrailov 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tommy McMillen a 57% favorite over Saifullah Dzhabrailov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1726 vs 1729), separated by just 3 points.
Tommy McMillen enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Saifullah Dzhabrailov finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Tommy McMillen 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.