Sam Hughes vs Stephanie Luciano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record8-2-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'6"
64"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fortis MMATeamGordin Fight Team
What's at stake
Stephanie Luciano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Sam Hughes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1622
If they lose-15→ 1590
If they win+15→ 1650
If they lose-17→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sam HughesStephanie Luciano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stephanie Luciano67%
Sam Hughes 33%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Stephanie Luciano a 67% favorite over Sam Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Stephanie Luciano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1635 to 1605, a 30-point edge.
Stephanie Luciano enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Sam Hughes finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Stephanie Luciano 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.