Sam Hughes vs Stephanie Luciano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record7-2-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'6"
64"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fortis MMATeamGordin Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
If they win+24→ 1629
If they lose-24→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sam HughesStephanie Luciano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stephanie Luciano60%
Sam Hughes 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Stephanie Luciano a 60% favorite over Sam Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sam Hughes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1605), separated by just 0 points.
Sam Hughes finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Stephanie Luciano 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.