Sam Hughes vs Victoria Dudakova
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record8-2-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
64"Reach67"
115 lbsWeight117 lbs
Fortis MMATeamALEX Fitness
What's at stake
Victoria Dudakova is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Sam Hughes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1622
If they lose-15→ 1590
If they win+15→ 1639
If they lose-17→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sam HughesVictoria Dudakova
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Hughes53%
Victoria Dudakova 47%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Hughes a 53% favorite over Victoria Dudakova in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Victoria Dudakova's way (47%).
Victoria Dudakova holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1624 to 1605, a 19-point edge.
Victoria Dudakova enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sam Hughes finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Victoria Dudakova 75%.
Sam Hughes and Victoria Dudakova share 1 common opponent: Istela Nunes.
Victoria Dudakova carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.