Sam Hughes vs Yazmin Jauregui
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record11-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'3"
64"Reach64"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fortis MMATeamEntram Gym· 1682 avg Elo · 11 rated
What's at stake
Yazmin Jauregui is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Sam Hughes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1624
If they lose-13→ 1592
If they win+13→ 1687
If they lose-19→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sam HughesYazmin Jauregui
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yazmin Jauregui62%
Sam Hughes 38%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Yazmin Jauregui a 62% favorite over Sam Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Yazmin Jauregui holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1605, a 69-point edge.
Sam Hughes finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Yazmin Jauregui 64%.
Sam Hughes and Yazmin Jauregui share 1 common opponent: Istela Nunes.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.