Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Vicente Luque
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-10-0Record24-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
73″Reach75″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1719 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Santiago PonzinibbioVicente Luque
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vicente Luque71%
Santiago Ponzinibbio 29%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Vicente Luque a 71% favorite over Santiago Ponzinibbio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1707), separated by just 9 points.
Santiago Ponzinibbio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Santiago Ponzinibbio finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Luque 88%.
Santiago Ponzinibbio and Vicente Luque share 2 common opponents: Kevin Holland and Geoff Neal.
Vicente Luque carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.